FAQ: Finding Opportunities

How does the Opportunities page work?

Answer: The Opportunities page shows you stocks with high-probability setups based on historical seasonal patterns.

You can filter by:

• Probability — minimum odds (e.g., 75%+)
• Date Range — when opportunities start
• Direction — bullish or bearish
• Index — S&P 500, NASDAQ, Dow Jones, international markets

The results show stocks ranked by their historical probability of moving in the predicted direction.

Why are some holding windows short (5 days) and others long (60 days)?

Answer: Seasonal patterns vary in length. Some stocks rally for a week around earnings. Others have multi-month trends.

Short windows (5-14 days) typically relate to:

• Earnings season effects
• Options expiration cycles
• Short-term catalysts

Long windows (30-60 days) relate to:

• Quarterly trends (Q4 Rally)
• Seasonal changes (Sell in May)
• Extended market cycles

What do the Score grades (A+, A, B+, B, C) mean?

Answer: The Score combines probability and potential return into a single rating.

How it's calculated:

• 70% weight: Probability (historical win rate)
• 30% weight: Potential return (average ROI)

Grade breakdown:

A+ = Score 90+  (Excellent opportunity)
A  = Score 80-89 (Very good opportunity)
B+ = Score 70-79 (Good opportunity)
B  = Score 60-69 (Decent opportunity)
C  = Score below 60 (Lower confidence)

Recommendation: Focus on A+ and A rated opportunities for the highest confidence setups.

What if I miss the entry date?

Answer: Don't chase the opportunity!

Entering late breaks the probability math. Here's why:

Example:

Opportunity: Buy AAPL Jan 15, Exit Jan 22
Historical Stats: 85% Probability, +3.2% Potential

If you buy Jan 18 (3 days late):
- Probability drops significantly
- Potential return decreases
- Risk/Reward worsens

What to do instead:

1. ✅ Wait for the next opportunity — new ones appear daily
2. ✅ Find an alternative — there are always other stocks with similar setups
3. ✅ Set calendar reminders — plan entries in advance

Important: Discipline beats FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out).

How often should I check for opportunities?

Answer: Daily or weekly works well.

Daily check (for active traders):

• See what's starting in the next 1-3 days
• Quick 5-minute scan of top opportunities

Weekly check (for casual investors):

• Every Monday, review opportunities for the week ahead
• More time for research before entry dates

Recommended workflow:

1. Open Opportunities page
2. Set filters: Min Probability 75%, your preferred direction
3. Sort by Probability or Score
4. Review top 5-10 results
5. Click "Detailed Analysis" for deeper research

Why do some stocks appear multiple times?

Answer: A stock can have multiple seasonal patterns throughout the year.

For example, AAPL might show:

• January rally pattern (Jan 5-15)
• Pre-earnings pattern (Jan 20-28)
• Different time windows = different opportunities

Each entry represents a distinct historical pattern with its own statistics.

Can I filter by specific stocks?

Answer: Yes! Use the Quick Lookup page for individual stock analysis.

The Opportunities page is for discovery — finding new opportunities you might not know about.

Quick Lookup is for research — analyzing specific stocks you're already interested in.

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